Surprise, AZ real estate snapshot: Pulse Score 62.24084405152823, cap rate 11%, median price $420,000. Below: live market insights, demographics, crime overview, investment hotspots, and nearby areas.
The Surprise housing market is showing balanced conditions with stable prices and moderate inventory levels. The median home price in Surprise currently stands at $420,000. With 5.2 months of supply, Surprise's inventory levels remain relatively tight. Homes are taking about 68 days to sell, which is 8 days longer than this time last year. A significant 26.7% of listings experienced price reductions, indicating sellers may be adjusting to market realities. Only 11.0% of properties sold above asking price, giving buyers more negotiating power. Affordability remains a significant challenge in the Surprise market with the affordability index at 27.0. Based on current market indicators, home prices in Surprise are projected to decrease by approximately 15.4% over the next month.
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The Pulse Score combines property value appreciation, rental income potential, market liquidity, demographic trends, and crime/safety signals into a single 0–100 grade. Higher scores indicate stronger investor fundamentals.
Investment quality depends on your goals. Use the cap rate, investor-friendly score, demographic insights, and crime data on this page to evaluate Surprise, AZ for buy-and-hold, fix-and-flip, or short-term rental strategies.
Our analysis combines public datasets (US Census Bureau, FBI Uniform Crime Reporting, HUD, BLS) with proprietary short-term rental performance and active MLS feeds, refreshed on a regular cadence.
Use the “Related analysis” section on this page to jump to the dedicated crime report, school ratings, and state-level short-term rental market analysis for Surprise, AZ.
PulseReal’s analysis is built on top of these public, authoritative datasets.
Official UCR crime statistics by state and agency from the FBI.
Population, demographics, housing, and income data from the US Census Bureau.
Encyclopedic overview of the city, history, and notable landmarks.
Housing affordability, fair-market rents, and market reports from HUD.
Local unemployment and employment data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
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