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Vacation Rental Hotspots: Uncovering Markets Defying Seasonal Trends - A Data-Driven Analysis

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26 May 2025

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vacation rentals
real estate investment
occupancy rates
ADR
market analysis

Vacation Rental Hotspots: Uncovering Markets Defying Seasonal Trends

The vacation rental market is dynamic, with occupancy rates fluctuating based on seasonality, local events, and overall economic conditions. However, some markets consistently outperform expectations, maintaining strong occupancy even during traditionally slower periods. This analysis delves into specific cities to identify these resilient hotspots, providing valuable insights for potential investors.

Understanding Key Metrics

Before diving into specific markets, it's crucial to understand the key metrics used to evaluate vacation rental performance:

  • ADR (Average Daily Rate): The average rental income generated per occupied room in a given period.
  • Occupancy Rate: The percentage of available rental units that are occupied during a specific period.
  • ROI (Return on Investment): A measure of the profitability of an investment, expressed as a percentage.

High-Performing Markets: A Comparative Analysis

Let's examine several cities and their vacation rental performance based on recent data. We'll focus on ADR and occupancy rates to identify markets that are defying seasonal trends.

Occupancy Rate Champions

Several cities demonstrate impressive occupancy rates, indicating consistent demand throughout the year. Austin, TN, stands out with an occupancy rate of 89%. Tampa, CO, closely follows with an occupancy rate of 88%. San Antonio, CO, also boasts a high occupancy rate of 87%. These figures suggest strong and consistent demand for vacation rentals in these areas.

ADR Leaders

ADR is a critical indicator of revenue potential. Tampa, CO, leads the pack with a substantial ADR of $331. Houston, TX, also commands a high ADR of $280, reflecting its appeal to travelers willing to pay a premium. Charlotte, OR, shows a strong ADR of $214, indicating a healthy balance between demand and pricing.

Detailed City-by-City Breakdown

To provide a comprehensive overview, let's examine each city in more detail:

San Antonio, CO

San Antonio, CO, presents a compelling case with an ADR of $188 and an impressive occupancy rate of 87%. This combination results in an estimated ROI of 13.73%, making it an attractive market for investors. The city has 826 total listings.

Nashville, CA

Nashville, CA, showcases a solid performance with an ADR of $144 and an occupancy rate of 85%. While the ADR is lower compared to some other markets, the consistent occupancy contributes to an estimated ROI of 7.44%. Nashville has 885 total listings.

Charlotte, OR

Charlotte, OR, demonstrates a strong balance between ADR and occupancy, with an ADR of $214 and an occupancy rate of 85%. This translates to an estimated ROI of 14.60%, making it a potentially lucrative market. The city has 797 total listings.

Tampa, CO

Tampa, CO, leads in ADR with $331 and maintains a high occupancy rate of 88%. This combination results in an estimated ROI of 13.53%. Tampa has a substantial 1010 total listings, indicating a robust vacation rental market.

San Antonio, AZ

San Antonio, AZ, has an ADR of $143 and an occupancy rate of 77%. The estimated ROI is 6.54%. The city has 573 total listings.

Raleigh, GA

Raleigh, GA, offers a lower ADR of $124 but maintains a respectable occupancy rate of 81%. The estimated ROI is 13.89%. Raleigh has 421 total listings.

Phoenix, TX

Phoenix, TX, features an ADR of $230 and an occupancy rate of 83%. The estimated ROI is 16.48%. Phoenix has 401 total listings.

Houston, TX

Houston, TX, boasts a high ADR of $280 and an occupancy rate of 79%. This combination results in an impressive estimated ROI of 17.21%. Houston has 749 total listings.

Austin, TN

Austin, TN, stands out with a high occupancy rate of 89% and an ADR of $115. The estimated ROI is 12.85%. Austin has 500 total listings.

Denver, NC

Denver, NC, has an ADR of $209 but a lower occupancy rate of 66%. The estimated ROI is 7.39%. Denver has 833 total listings.

Phoenix, TN

Phoenix, TN, shows varying performance depending on the specific location. One Phoenix location has an ADR of $240 and an occupancy rate of 66%, resulting in an estimated ROI of 5.17%. Another Phoenix location has an ADR of $218 and an occupancy rate of 83%, with an estimated ROI of 7.50%.

Raleigh, CO

Raleigh, CO, has an ADR of $183 and an occupancy rate of 82%. The estimated ROI is 5.01%. Raleigh has 918 total listings.

Miami, CA

Miami, CA, has an ADR of $149 and a lower occupancy rate of 63%. The estimated ROI is 13.15%. Miami has 1048 total listings.

Comparative Analysis: ADR and Occupancy

Comparing ADR and occupancy rates across these cities reveals interesting insights. For instance, while Tampa, CO, has the highest ADR at $331, Austin, TN, leads in occupancy with 89%. San Antonio, AZ, has a lower ADR of $143 and an occupancy of 77%, while Nashville, CA, has an ADR of $144 and an occupancy of 85%. This highlights the trade-offs between pricing and utilization in different markets.

Investment Considerations

When considering vacation rental investments, it's crucial to analyze both ADR and occupancy rates. A high ADR can generate significant revenue, but it's essential to ensure that the occupancy rate is sufficient to maintain profitability. Conversely, a high occupancy rate can compensate for a lower ADR, providing a steady stream of income.

Conclusion

Identifying vacation rental hotspots requires a thorough analysis of key metrics such as ADR and occupancy rates. Cities like Tampa, CO, Austin, TN, and San Antonio, CO, demonstrate strong performance, defying seasonal trends and offering attractive investment opportunities. By carefully evaluating these markets and considering individual investment goals, investors can make informed decisions and maximize their returns in the dynamic vacation rental landscape.

The data indicates that while some cities have higher ADRs, others excel in occupancy rates, creating diverse opportunities for investors with varying risk appetites and investment strategies. Further research into local regulations, tourism trends, and property management options is recommended before making any investment decisions.


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Explore vacation rental markets with strong occupancy rates and ADR. Data-driven analysis of cities like Tampa, Austin, and San Antonio.

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