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Short-Term Success: Cities Where ADR Growth Outpaces Occupancy, and What It Means for Real Estate Investors

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02 Jun 2025

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Short-Term Success: Cities Where ADR Growth Outpaces Occupancy, and What It Means for Real Estate Investors

In the world of real estate, short-term success often hinges on a delicate balance between Average Daily Rate (ADR) growth and occupancy rates. Cities that can manage to outpace their occupancy rates while still maintaining stable occupancy levels are often seen as prime opportunities for investors. In this article, we'll delve into the cities where ADR growth outpaces occupancy, and what it means for real estate investors.

Cities Where ADR Growth Outpaces Occupancy

According to our data, the following cities have seen significant ADR growth outpacing their occupancy rates:

  • Portland, OR: With an ADR of $316 and an occupancy rate of 75%, Portland is a top contender for short-term success.
  • Nashville, TN: Nashville's ADR of $231 and occupancy rate of 70% make it an attractive option for investors.
  • Denver, CO: Denver's ADR of $358 and occupancy rate of 61% indicate a city ripe for short-term growth.
  • Seattle, WA: Seattle's ADR of $322 and occupancy rate of 72% make it a prime location for short-term investment.
  • Phoenix, AZ: Phoenix's ADR of $371 and occupancy rate of 73% are a testament to its potential for short-term success.

When comparing these cities, it's essential to consider their respective occupancy rates. For example, Portland's occupancy rate of 75% is significantly higher than Nashville's 70%, which could impact short-term investment potential.

Why ADR Growth Outpaces Occupancy

There are several reasons why ADR growth may outpace occupancy rates in certain cities: For more detailed information, check out our short term analysis.

  • Seasonal demand: Cities with strong seasonal demand, such as beach destinations, may see ADR growth outpacing occupancy rates due to higher prices during peak seasons.
  • Supply and demand: Cities with limited housing supply or high demand may experience ADR growth outpacing occupancy rates.
  • Economic factors: Economic factors, such as job growth or industrial development, can drive ADR growth and increase occupancy rates.

Understanding the underlying factors driving ADR growth and occupancy rates is crucial for investors looking to capitalize on short-term success.

For a more in-depth analysis of short-term rental markets, be sure to check out our article on Short-Term Rental Market Outlook: Which Cities Are Poised for Growth in 2025?

Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and Capitalization Rate (Cap Rate)

When evaluating short-term investment opportunities, it's essential to consider the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and Capitalization Rate (Cap Rate). These metrics provide insight into the potential returns on investment and the attractiveness of a city for short-term rental income. For more detailed information, check out our short term analysis.

For example, Portland's IRR of 10.40% and Cap Rate of 5.66% indicate a potentially lucrative short-term investment opportunity.

Similarly, Nashville's IRR of 7.62% and Cap Rate of 3.51% suggest a lower-risk investment option with a stronger potential for long-term growth.

By analyzing these metrics, investors can make informed decisions about which cities to target for short-term success. For more detailed information, check out our short term analysis.

For a comprehensive analysis of short-term rental regulations, be sure to check out our article on Short-Term Rental Regulations vs. Hotel Licensing: What Hosts Need to Know

Conclusion

In conclusion, cities where ADR growth outpaces occupancy rates offer a promising opportunity for real estate investors. By analyzing the underlying factors driving ADR growth and occupancy rates, investors can make informed decisions about which cities to target for short-term success. Whether you're a seasoned investor or just starting out, understanding the intricacies of short-term rental markets is crucial for achieving long-term success.


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An in-depth analysis of cities where ADR growth outpaces occupancy, and what it means for real estate investors.

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