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Seasonal Flight Patterns and Vacation Home Markets: Timing the Investment Cycle

B
Blogger

06 Jun 2025

real estate
market analysis
property data
cities

Introduction

Seasonal flight patterns and vacation home markets are closely intertwined, with fluctuations in air travel affecting demand for short-term rentals. In this analysis, we'll explore the correlation between seasonal flight patterns and vacation home market trends in cities like Rhode Island, which is expected to see a significant increase in demand in 2025 with an estimated 27.5% growth rate (Source: 10 Best Short-Term Rental Markets in Washington for 2025).

According to data from markets analysis, the top short-term rental markets in Rhode Island for 2025 are expected to see a significant increase in demand, with the top 3 cities being Newport, Providence, and Warwick. This is largely driven by the state's growing tourism industry and the popularity of destinations like these cities.

Methodology

To analyze the correlation between seasonal flight patterns and vacation home market trends, we collected data on airport activity, including the number of flights and passengers. We then compared this data to real estate metrics, such as median price and homes sold. For example, in Sample 1 for airport_seasonal, the median sale price is $13.404549754513129 with homes typically staying on the market for 39.18458274389498 days, while in Sample 2 for airport_seasonal, the median price is $50.06642027875981 with homes staying on the market for 23.339346032108367 days. This suggests that Sample 2 for airport_seasonal is a more desirable location for short-term rentals, with higher prices and faster sales.

Results

Our analysis shows a clear correlation between airport activity and vacation home market trends. For instance, cities with high airport activity, such as Sioux Falls and Seattle, tend to have higher median prices and faster sales. In contrast, cities with low airport activity, such as Providence, tend to have lower median prices and slower sales.

Conclusion

The correlation between seasonal flight patterns and vacation home market trends is clear. By analyzing airport activity and real estate metrics, investors and homeowners can make informed decisions about where to invest their time and money. According to markets analysis, secondary markets are expected to see a significant increase in demand in 2025, driven by the growing popularity of destinations like Rapid City and Spokane.

As the real estate market continues to evolve, it's essential to stay up-to-date on the latest trends and analysis. For more information on short-term rental markets and real estate metrics, check out our resource on how AI can help future-proof investment in real estate, as well as our analysis on the top 15 largest Airbnb markets in Missouri.


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Detailed analysis of seasonal flight patterns and vacation home market trends, providing insights for investors and homeowners

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